Whose government in Delhi? Forget figures of Exit Poll, understand ground reality of voting percentage

Voting has been completed in Delhi on February 5. According to the Election Commission, 60.42 percent voting has taken place in the capital till 6 pm. At the same time, last time 62.80 percent voting took place and in the year 2015, 67.12 percent voting was recorded.

While after voting in Delhi assebley elections, now only one question is being discussed that whose game did the voters play this time? That too because the voters of the national capital have voted heavily in this election of 2025.

According to the Election Commission, 60.42 percent voting has taken place till 6 pm. Last time 62.80 percent voting took place in Delhi.

Increase in voting, what is the political trend?

1.Government changed after increase of more than 5 percent - An increase in vote percentage was seen in Delhi in the assembly elections of 2003, 2008, 2013 and 2015. There was an increase of 4.43 percent in 2003, 4.1 percent in 2008, 8 percent in 2013 and about 1.45 percent in 2015.

Except 2013, there has never been a government toppling due to an increase in votes. However, there has definitely been a decrease and increase in the number of seats. In 2003, when the votes increased by 4.4 percent, the seats of the ruling Congress decreased by 5. In 2008, when the votes increased by 4.1 percent, the seats of Congress decreased by 4.

In 2013, Congress was reduced to 8 seats. The direct benefit of the increase in votes went to BJP and the newly-formed Aam Aadmi Party. In 2015, there was an increase of 1.45 percent, and the seats of Aam Aadmi Party increased to 67.

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However, the way the votes have increased this time indicates a decrease in the number of seats of Aam Aadmi Party. Two days ago, Arvind Kejriwal himself claimed victory on 55 seats. In 2020, AAP won 62 seats in Delhi.

2.Different game in Jharkhand and Maharashtra- Before the Delhi assembly elections, assembly elections were held in Jharkhand and Maharashtra. An increase in the vote percentage was seen in the assembly elections of both these states. Interestingly, the ruling party returned in both the states.

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For example, in the 2024 elections in Jharkhand, there was 3 percent more voting than in 2019. Here the Hemant Soren alliance won 56 seats. In 2024, the Hemant alliance had 47 seats. Similarly, about 4 percent more votes were cast in the Maharashtra assembly elections. In 2019, 62 percent votes were cast in Maharashtra. The Mahayuti alliance got the direct benefit of more votes in Maharashtra.

The Mahayuti alliance won 236 seats in the assembly elections. There are a total of 288 assembly seats in Maharashtra. Women voters were considered the reason for the return to power in both the states. In Delhi too, many populist promises have been made for women. It is being said that if these promises have an effect, then the ruling Aam Aadmi Party will directly benefit from it.

3.Voter craze in Muslim dominated areas- The highest number of votes have been cast in Seelampur and Mustafabad. The craze to cast votes was seen among the voters since morning on both the seats. Last time Aam Aadmi Party won on Seelampur and Mustafabad seats. This time AAP seems to be facing a tough challenge on both the places.

Asaduddin Owaisi's candidate Tahir Hussain is in the fray on Mustafabad seat. Mohan Singh Bisht is contesting on behalf of BJP. AAP has given ticket to Adil, son of former MLA Hasan Ahmed from here. Chaudhary Mateen Ahmed's son Chaudhari Zuber is the candidate in Seelampur. BJP has given ticket to Anil Gaur and Congress has given ticket to Abdul Rehman from here.